Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.011460 0.013827 0.016772 0.020788 0.026251 0.033635 0.044760
2025-05-25 0.008133 0.010627 0.014118 0.019596 0.028476 0.043373 0.073216
2025-06-01 0.006479 0.008884 0.012505 0.018743 0.030196 0.052962 0.111878
2025-06-08 0.005672 0.008097 0.011983 0.019260 0.034300 0.069909 0.194780
2025-06-15 0.004964 0.007293 0.011201 0.018993 0.036688 0.085410 0.317058
2025-06-22 0.004295 0.006430 0.010121 0.017802 0.036442 0.093920 0.449372
2025-06-29 0.003934 0.006022 0.009761 0.017958 0.039592 0.117310 0.847313
2025-07-06 0.003703 0.005798 0.009693 0.018718 0.044877 0.157929 2.199219
2025-07-13 0.003576 0.005738 0.009924 0.020250 0.053683 0.237799 13.038986
2025-07-20 0.003392 0.005545 0.009845 0.020991 0.060557 0.333540 413.201322
2025-07-27 0.003181 0.005274 0.009554 0.021083 0.065170 0.437509 NaN
2025-08-03 0.003019 0.005077 0.009392 0.021496 0.071726 0.614847 NaN
2025-08-10 0.002781 0.004728 0.008886 0.020924 0.074251 0.793457 NaN
2025-08-17 0.002528 0.004326 0.008212 0.019679 0.072638 0.905398 NaN
2025-08-24 0.002328 0.004013 0.007699 0.018819 0.072655 1.095629 NaN
2025-08-31 0.002224 0.003887 0.007614 0.019338 0.081770 1.923451 NaN
2025-09-07 0.002093 0.003690 0.007323 0.019070 0.085751 2.890680 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001933 0.003416 0.006809 0.017872 0.081994 3.149449 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001848 0.003299 0.006674 0.018029 0.089106 5.992335 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001796 0.003245 0.006695 0.018794 0.103025 20.645783 NaN
2025-10-05 0.001773 0.003256 0.006888 0.020334 0.128862 932.252511 NaN
2025-10-12 0.001723 0.003198 0.006886 0.021080 0.149316 NaN NaN
2025-10-19 0.001655 0.003096 0.006746 0.021172 0.162490 NaN NaN